How to work out your real fuel profit margin per litre

Why selling price minus today's purchase price is the wrong number, how weighted average cost works, and what a price change does to fuel already in your tanks.

6 min read FuelBotics team

Ask a station owner what they make per litre and most will subtract today's purchase price from today's selling price. It's quick, but it's often wrong, because the fuel you're selling today was bought at different prices over the past days or weeks. Here's how to work out the number that actually lands in your bank account.

Why "selling price minus purchase price" misleads

Your tank holds a mix of fuel from several deliveries, each bought at its own price. When you sell a litre, it comes from that mix, not from the latest delivery alone. If purchase prices are rising, the quick method understates your margin. If they're falling, it overstates it, sometimes by enough to turn a real loss into an apparent profit.

Weighted average cost

The standard fix is weighted average cost (WAC). Each time fuel is delivered, you blend the cost of what's already in the tank with the cost of the new delivery:

New average cost = (Stock in tank × Current average cost + Litres delivered × Delivery price) ÷ (Stock in tank + Litres delivered)

For example:

ItemLitresCost per litreTotal cost
Fuel already in tank10,000250.002,500,000
New delivery20,000260.005,200,000
Blended stock30,000256.677,700,000

If you sell at 275 per litre, the quick method says your margin is 275 − 260 = 15.00. Using weighted average cost, it's actually 275 − 256.67 = 18.33 per litre. Across 300,000 litres a month, that's a difference of about a million in how profitable you think you are.

What a price change does to fuel already in the tank

Where selling prices are set or changed suddenly, a price change also changes the value of the stock you're holding. Say you have 12,000 litres in the tank and the selling price drops by 5 per litre overnight. You paid the same for that fuel, but you'll now earn 5 less on every litre of it:

12,000 litres × −5 = −60,000 price impact on existing stock

A price rise works the other way and gives you a one-off gain. Neither is "real" trading profit, so it's worth tracking the price impact separately. Otherwise a good month can just be the result of a price rise, and a bad one the result of a cut.

Keep tanks lean before expected price cuts and fuller before expected rises, as far as supply and safety allow. Knowing your price impact tells you how much this matters at your site.

From gross margin to net margin per litre

Gross margin ignores the cost of running the station. To see what each litre really earns, spread your operating costs across the litres you sold:

ItemPer litre
Gross margin (weighted average cost)18.33
Operating costs: 1,200,000 a month ÷ 300,000 litres−4.00
Stock loss: 0.3% of cost (about 0.77)−0.77
Net margin per litre13.56

Notice the stock loss line. Fuel that goes missing directly eats into margin, which is why tracking stock loss daily matters as much as negotiating a better purchase price.

How much margin are losses costing you? Our fuel loss calculator shows the monthly and yearly value of small percentages.
Try the calculator

A monthly margin routine

  1. Update weighted average cost for each product after every delivery.
  2. Record every selling price change with the date and the stock in the tank at the time.
  3. At month end, calculate gross margin per litre by product, separate from price impact.
  4. Subtract operating costs and stock loss to get net margin per litre.
  5. Compare month to month and across stations to see which ones are really performing.

Let the system keep the averages

Keeping a running weighted average by hand is fiddly and easy to get wrong after a few deliveries. FuelBotics calculates margin per litre at weighted average cost automatically, shows what each price change did to the fuel already in your tanks, and gives you daily detail by product that you can export for your accountant.

Let FuelBotics do the maths for you

Readings, dips, stock loss and profit worked out automatically. Book a free demo and start a 14-day free trial.

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